Posts Tagged ‘currency cycles’

The true volatility of payday loans

Saturday, December 19, 2009 19:01 Comments Off

A special situation occurs in the high-yield sector. The illiquidity in large parts of the universe causes price lags meaning that the aforementioned small changes in credit quality are not immediately reflected in bond prices. In the economic literature, this effect is known as non-trading. With respect to high-yield indices non-trading and non-synchronous trading of [...]

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The role of employment in credit

Tuesday, October 13, 2009 8:23 Comments Off

For decades economists have analyzed the behavior of various economic indicators during the business cycle. Employment is commonly seen as one of the lagging indicators for the state of the economy. However, there is a leading indicator for the labor sector that coincides with changes in credit spreads. For example, for most of the time [...]

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